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Archive for November 26th, 2017

3ኛው የዓለም ጦርነት በኢትዮጵያ ምክኒያት ሊጀመር ይችላል | If a ‘Third World War’ Were to Break-out it Would Start in the Horn of Africa

Posted by addisethiopia / አዲስ ኢትዮጵያ on November 26, 2017

ሉሲፈራውያኑ አገራችንን መክበብ ከጀመሩ ቆይተዋል። ታላቂቱን አገራችንን ቀስ በቀስ በመሸንሸን ቆራርጠው ሲወስዱ ለዚህ ለያዝነው ዘመን ዘመቻቸው መዘጋጀታቸው ይሆን?

አሁን በኢትዮጵያ ዙሪያ የሚገኙትን ግዛቶች (ኤርትራ፣ ጂቡቲ፣ ሁለቱ ሲዳኖች፣ ሶማሊያ፣ ኬኒያ እና የመን) በመቆጣጠር ላይና በማተረማመስ ላይ ይገኛሉ። የሉሲፈራውያኑ ዋና ቤዝ በ አረቢያ ይገኛል። በየዘመናቱ በአገራችን ላይ ይደርሱ የነበሩት ጥቃቶች ከአውሮፓ፣ ከቱርክ ወይም ከግብጽ ቢመጡም ከጥቃቶቹ በስተጀርባ ሁሌ የአረቢያ ጂኒ አለበት።

በቅርብ ጊዜ እንኳን ለ ጂቡቲና ኤርትራ፡ ከኢትዮጵያ መገንጠል ከፍተኛ ሚና የተጫወቱት አረቦቹ ናቸው። ፈረንሳይና ጣሊያን፡ ልክ አሁን አሜሪካውያን በኢራኖች ተታለው ኢራቅን እንደወረሩት፤ ማለትም የእስማኤላውያኑ ኢራናውያን መሣሪያዎች ለመሆን እንደበቁት። በኢራቅ፡ አሜሪካ በጣም ከፍተኛ የገንዘብና የደም መስዋዕት ከፍላ አሁን ኢራቅን የሚቆጣጠሯት ኢራናውያን ሺያ ሙስሊሞች ናቸው። ሱኒዎች ወይም ሺያዎች የተለያዩ ተፎካካሪዎች መስለው ቢታዩንም፤ ለእኛ ሁሉም አንድ ናቸው፡ ሁሉም የሉሲፈር ወታደሮች ናቸው፤ እንዲያውም የመጀመሪዎቹ የጆርጅ ሄገል ዲያብሎሳዊ ዲያለክቲክስ (ቲሲስ – አንቲቴሲስ – ሲንቴሲስ) አራማጆች እነሱ ናቸው።

ኤዶማውያን እና እስማኤላውያን ከበውናል – የዓለማችን ሁኔታ እንዲህ ከቀጠለ፡ ልከ እንደ አንደኛው እና ሁለተኛው የዓለም ጦርነቶች፡ ሦስተኛውም በኢትዮጵያ ምክኒያት ነው ሊቀሰቀስ የሚችለው።

እግዚአብሔር ግን አገራችንን ይጠብቃታል!

ቻይናዊ ታዛቢ፦

I really hope that Ethiopia can stand out as a major power in the world, which can offer strategic support to China in her struggle against West hegemony. We suffered the same fate under west domination so we can understand each other well. I am a Chinese by the way.

The Horn Of Africa + Sudan Are Replacing The Middle East As The Geo-Political Danger Zone

As the Middle East slowly stabilises, The Horn of Africa is where the next major global conflicts could ignite unless existing partners in the region go on high alert.

For decades, exploitative neo-imperialist geo-political military and economic (mis)adventures have tarnished generations throughout much of the Middle East. From the continued suppression of the Palestinians, to the Petro-politics of the Persian Gulf, to regime change missions throughout historic Mesopotamia, the Levant and Maghreb, the Middle East has been the 20th century’s geo-political/geo-economic prize that the US and its European allies have not allowed a day’s peace since the end of the First World War.

Today, over one-hundred years after the infamous Sykes-Picot Agreement between Britain and France, a new Middle East is emerging with a clear northern and southern bloc who are opposed to one another, but that each have good relations with both Russia and China. Additionally, while the northern bloc is comprised of key 20th century Soviet allies including Syria and Iraq, the southern bloc maintains traditionally strong relations with the US, although key members of this region are attempting to both economically and diplomatically diversify their respective portfolios. This is certainly the case with both Saudi Arabia and its de-facto (soon to be formal) ally Israel, as well as Egypt which is pivoting back to a position of trying to make the most from both historically good ties to Moscow and the sustained good ties with Washington dating back to the late 1970s.

The logical conclusion to such a formation is stability, however uncomfortable a stability it might be for some Middle Eastern nations. This is good news for some of the most prominent roads which comprise China’s One Belt–One Road trading, commerce and logistics super-highway.

But just as China’s key roads which link South Asia and East Asia to Europe via Eurasia are showing signs of recovery, the maritime belts along One Belt–One Road, are fast becoming the most worrying points of contention whereby the US and its allies seek to create disquiet for China and its partners.

This is particularly the case in respect of the Horn of Africa and also Sudan, just to the north of the Horn.

Washington is gearing up attempts to exploit the Horn of Africa and nearby states for the following reasons:

1. The Middle East’s Belt

2. Sudan’s President praises Russia

3. China’s base in Djibouti

4. China bringing stability to Somalia

5. Chinese investments in Ethiopia to under-cut soft power

Ever since the late 1980s and early 1990s when Gorbachev’s incompetent leadership soiled Russia’s relations with Ethiopia, the US was quick to fill the void after the fall of Mengistu Haile Mariam.

However, today’s US relations with Ethiopia have been realistically undercut by massive amounts of Chinese direct monetary and infrastructural investment in the country.

As geo-political expert Andrew Korbyko recent wrote,

Ethiopia, which is the second-most populous country in Africa and the world’s fastest-growing economy, is China’s premier partner in the continent, and Beijing just built the Djibouti-Addis Ababa railway as a de-facto Horn of African Silk Road for efficiently accessing this landlocked but rising African Great Power. Seeing as how Ethiopian-Chinese trade will in all likelihood begin to transit across CPEC en route to the People’s Republic, it makes sense for the Pakistani Navy to begin proactively safeguarding the ASGA SLOC between Gwadar and Djibouti together with the Chinese”.

Here, one sees how China is helping Ethiopia to regain links to the sea, thus circumventing Eritrea which is in the medium-term interest of Ethiopia, but also creating an environment wherein Eritrea and Ethiopia may slowly reconcile their implicitly poor relations through a mutual position as part of One Belt–One Road.

In the even more immediate term, Russia could engage in meaningful relations with Addis Ababa, also using its good relationship with China as a spring-board to develop this. If it is possible for Pakistan to develop a positive presence in the region as a result of its position along One Belt–One Road, Russia could theoretically do something similar. If Russia were to become an ever more important partner of Sudan while using China’s economic prestige in Ethiopia to increase its geo-political prestige in the region, this could only be a helpful diplomatic “win-win” that would be to the economic benefit of all parties.

CONCLUSION:

In all of these matters, the US is overtly the biggest obstacle to progress. If the US could exploit established Middle Eastern powers so easily in order to create deaconess long instability in the Arab world, it is a worrying reality that the instability of the Horn of Africa region and also the internal crises in Sudan and beyond, are even more ripe for exploitation than those in the Middle East.

Without doubt, the next big competition for world-dominance will not be in the Middle East but in the nearby Horn of Africa and into Sudan.

China and Russia seek to open the region to One Belt–One Road while the US seeks to exploit existing and latent tensions to lock existing states and possibly new states and statelets into an alliance with the US which would effectively prohibit full participation in One Belt–One Road.

I personally am not of the belief that a ‘third world war’ will break-out, but if it were to do so, it would not start in the Middle East, South Asia or the Korean peninsula. It would start in the Horn of Africa.

Source

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